Tables

Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES] Haven't heard of Heard of Very
Favor-
able
Some-
what
Favor-
able
Some-
what Un-
favor-
able
Very
Unfavor-
able
No opinion
Bob Menendez 25% 76% 10 23 16 13 39
Previous surveys…       
Menendez 7/06

24%

76%

13

23

14

11

40

Menendez 4/06

37%

63%

10

29

 9

10

42

Menendez 3/06

35%

65%

12

28

  6

  7

46

Menendez 1/06

40%

60%

12

21

11

  6

50

Menendez 9/05

64%

36%

14

27

16

  5

38

Menendez 7/05

62%

38%

16

33

10

  6

36

Tom Kean, Jr.

17%

83%

15

29

10

  4

42

Previous surveys…       
Kean 07/06

21%

79%

12

27

12

  6

43

Kean 4/06

28%

72%

13

26

10

  4

47

Kean, 3/06

38%

62%

12

28

  7

  5

47

Kean 1/06

38%

62%

12

29

 8

  4

48

Kean 9/05

54%

46%

16

30

13

  3

38



Question:  Have you heard of [rotate list]? If you haven't just tell me. [If yes, ask:] Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of …? Would that be very or somewhat?
[ROTATE NAMES] All Dem Ind Rep Men Women White Non-White
Bob Menendez        
Very Favorable 10 17 5 4 9 11 8 21
Somewhat Favorable 23 32 25 13 24 22 21 31
Somewhat Unfavorable 16 12 11 22 17 14 17 8
Very Unfavorable 13 5 11 22 16 10 14 8
No Opinion 39 36 49 38 34 44 40 31
Tom Kean, Jr.        
Very Favorable 15 11 9 23 14 16 16 11
Somewhat Favorable 29 25 22 38 30 28 27 37
Somewhat Unfavorable 10 14 6 7 12 8 10 9
Very Unfavorable 4 4 8 2 5 3 4 6
No Opinion 42 45 55 31 40 45 43 38


Question: Later this year there will be an election for New Jersey's U.S. Senator between Bob Menendez, the Democrat and Tom Kean, Jr, the Republican? So far, how much have you heard or read about this race…[READ]?
  All Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
Republi-
cans
July April
  A great deal 13 13 15 11 14%   7%
  Some 28 27 17 35 25% 14%
  Just a little 34 31 42 35 35% 51%
  Nothing at all 26 29 26 20 27% 29%

Question:  If the election for U.S. Senate were held right now, and you had to make a choice, which candidate would you vote for… or … ?  [If choose ask: “Are you sure or might you change your mind?” If “unsure” ask:] Which way do you lean…or…?
Rotate names All D I R con mod Lib Men Wom July
“Bob Menendez, the Democrat” — sure 24         26%
Mendendez / might change 11         12%
Lean Menendez 4         4%
Total Menendez 39 68 20 9 16 35 65 34 42 43%
“Tom Kean, Jr., the Republican” — sure 25         25%
Kean / might change 16         13%
lean Kean 2         2%
Total Kean 43 19 37 82 68 38 23 49 38 40%
Unsure 17 12 42 7 13 27 12 15 19 15%
Other 2 2 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 3%


Question Ordering: Questions about President Bush and the military action in Iraq were placed either before questions about the Senate race or after the questions about the Senate race.
  All Ask about President and Iraq Before Ask about Bush, Iraq After
Bob Menendez, the Democrat 39 41 36
Tom Kean, Jr., The Republican 43 39 47
Unsure 17 19 16
Other 2 1 2
Kean Advantage 4 -2 11
Republican House Candidate 28 23 33
Democratic House Candidate 38 41 35
Unsure 35 36 33
Democratic House Advantage 10 18 2

Question: Which candidate for Senate … or … is best described by…?
rotate names All Demo-
crats
Indepen-
dents
Republicans July
Honest, trustworthy    
Bob Menendez, 15 26 2 6 16
Tom Kean, Jr., 26 14 22 47 20
neither (vol) 14 13 26 8 13
both (vol) 9 9 12 8 8
don't know (vol) 36 37 38 32 42
Understands the concerns of the average person    
Bob Menendez, 23 37 17 9 31
Tom Kean, Jr., 21 11 17 36 17
neither (vol) 13 11 13 15 9
both (vol) 6 5 7 7 4
don't know (vol) 37 36 45 34 39
Has the background and experience to be a good US Senator    
Bob Menendez, 27 39 25 14 30
Tom Kean, Jr., 23 11 23 39 22
neither (vol) 7 8 7 7 6
both (vol) 7 5 8 8 6
don't know (vol) 36 37 37 32 37

Question: Now, regardless of which candidate you want to win, if you had to guess, who would you say is going to win the election for Senate in November… or …?
 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep.

July

Bob Menendez

47

51

46

45

53%

Tom Kean, Jr.

28

27

23

33

29%

Don't Know (vol.)

23

21

29

22

18%


Question: How strongly are your views of this Senate election influenced by national concerns, such as the economy or the military action in Iraq?
 

All

Dem

Ind

Rep.

July

Very strongly

46

50

39

46

52%

Somewhat strongly

30

30

33

29

25%

Just a little

11

9

13

13

10%

Not at all

9

7

12

8

8%

Don't know/ref. (vol)

5

5

4

3

4%


see also:

Survey Analysis
Republican Analysis
Democratic Analysis
Survey Details

Copyright © 2006, Fairleigh Dickinson University. All rights reserved. FDU PublicMind Poll [Latest update 060830]